Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2004

This article provides a collection of state-wide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the United States presidential election, 2004. All candidates involved in polling are John Kerry, against incumbent President George W. Bush

Contents

Opinion polling

Alabama

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 1996)
(Republican in 2000)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Electoral Vote October 26, 2004 John Kerry 39% George W. Bush 57%
18
Electoral Vote October 22, 2004 John Kerry 42% George W. Bush 53%
11
Electoral Vote October 13, 2004 John Kerry 41% George W. Bush 53%
12
Electoral Vote October 12, 2004 John Kerry 32% George W. Bush 56%
24
Electoral Vote October 1, 2004 John Kerry 34% George W. Bush 62%
28
Electoral Vote September 20, 2004 John Kerry 40% George W. Bush 56%
16
Electoral Vote September 14, 2004 John Kerry 40% George W. Bush 54%
14
Electoral Vote September 4, 2004 John Kerry 42% George W. Bush 53%
11
Electoral Vote August 22, 2004 John Kerry 37% George W. Bush 58%
21
Electoral Vote August 11, 2004 John Kerry 34% George W. Bush 51%
17
Electoral Vote July 24, 2004 John Kerry 34% George W. Bush 56%
22

Alaska

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 1996)
(Republican in 2000)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Electoral Vote September 9, 2004 John Kerry 30% George W. Bush 57%
27
Electoral Vote June 27, 2004 John Kerry 33% George W. Bush 56%
23

Arizona

10 electoral votes
(Democrat in 1996)
(Republican in 2000)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Electoral Vote October 29, 2004 John Kerry 41% George W. Bush 56%
15
Electoral Vote October 26, 2004 John Kerry 45% George W. Bush 50%
5
Electoral Vote October 17, 2004 John Kerry 45% George W. Bush 50%
5
Electoral Vote October 16, 2004 John Kerry 40% George W. Bush 47%
7
Electoral Vote October 16, 2004 John Kerry 43% George W. Bush 54%
11
Electoral Vote October 14, 2004 John Kerry 47% George W. Bush 50%
3
Electoral Vote October 7, 2004 John Kerry 44% George W. Bush 49%
5
Electoral Vote October 3, 2004 John Kerry 41% George W. Bush 55%
14
Electoral Vote October 1, 2004 John Kerry 38% George W. Bush 48%
10
Electoral Vote October 1, 2004 John Kerry 47% George W. Bush 50%
3
Electoral Vote September 28, 2004 John Kerry 44% George W. Bush 53%
9
Electoral Vote September 25, 2004 John Kerry 38% George W. Bush 49%
11
Electoral Vote September 21, 2004 John Kerry 43% George W. Bush 54%
11
Electoral Vote September 13, 2004 John Kerry 48% George W. Bush 49%
1
Electoral Vote September 12, 2004 John Kerry 39% George W. Bush 50%
11
Electoral Vote September 11, 2004 John Kerry 43% George W. Bush 49%
6
Electoral Vote July 11, 2004 John Kerry 36% George W. Bush 48%
12

Arkansas

6 electoral votes
(Democrat in 1996)
(Republican in 2000)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Electoral Vote November 1, 2004 John Kerry 46% George W. Bush 51%
5
Electoral Vote October 27, 2004 John Kerry 43% George W. Bush 51%
8
Electoral Vote October 24, 2004 John Kerry 45% George W. Bush 51%
6
Electoral Vote October 16, 2004 John Kerry 48% George W. Bush 48%
0
Electoral Vote October 14, 2004 John Kerry 46% George W. Bush 51%
5
Electoral Vote October 13, 2004 John Kerry 48% George W. Bush 50%
2
Electoral Vote October 9, 2004 John Kerry 45% George W. Bush 46%
1
Electoral Vote October 3, 2004 John Kerry 43% George W. Bush 52%
9
Electoral Vote October 2, 2004 John Kerry 45% George W. Bush 51%
6
Electoral Vote October 1, 2004 John Kerry 47% George W. Bush 47%
0
Electoral Vote October 1, 2004 John Kerry 44% George W. Bush 53%
9
Electoral Vote September 29, 2004 John Kerry 44% George W. Bush 53%
9
Electoral Vote September 15, 2004 John Kerry 44% George W. Bush 51%
7
Electoral Vote September 14, 2004 John Kerry 45% George W. Bush 48%
3
Electoral Vote September 13, 2004 John Kerry 47% George W. Bush 47%
0
Electoral Vote August 22, 2004 John Kerry 47% George W. Bush 48%
1
Electoral Vote July 28, 2004 John Kerry 46% George W. Bush 48%
2
Electoral Vote July 20, 2004 John Kerry 45% George W. Bush 47%
2
Electoral Vote July 6, 2004 John Kerry 45% George W. Bush 47%
2
Electoral Vote June 18, 2004 John Kerry 47% George W. Bush 45%
2
Electoral Vote June 2, 2004 John Kerry 43% George W. Bush 51%
8

California

55 electoral votes
(Democrat in 1996)
(Democrat in 2000)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Electoral Vote October 29, 2004 John Kerry 54% George W. Bush 43%
11
Electoral Vote October 24, 2004 John Kerry 49% George W. Bush 42%
7
Electoral Vote October 23, 2004 John Kerry 53% George W. Bush 43%
10
Electoral Vote October 22, 2004 John Kerry 53% George W. Bush 44%
9
Electoral Vote October 15, 2004 John Kerry 50% George W. Bush 41%
9
Electoral Vote October 14, 2004 John Kerry 57% George W. Bush 39%
18
Electoral Vote October 9, 2004 John Kerry 51% George W. Bush 43%
8
Electoral Vote October 2, 2004 John Kerry 51% George W. Bush 43%
8
Electoral Vote October 1, 2004 John Kerry 49% George W. Bush 40%
9
Electoral Vote September 29, 2004 John Kerry 53% George W. Bush 42%
11
Electoral Vote September 23, 2004 John Kerry 53% George W. Bush 40%
13
Electoral Vote September 22, 2004 John Kerry 48% George W. Bush 43%
5
Electoral Vote September 20, 2004 John Kerry 53% George W. Bush 40%
13
Electoral Vote September 19, 2004 John Kerry 51% George W. Bush 39%
12
Electoral Vote September 12, 2004 John Kerry 55% George W. Bush 39%
16
Electoral Vote September 10, 2004 John Kerry 52% George W. Bush 41%
11
Electoral Vote September 6, 2004 John Kerry 52% George W. Bush 42%
10
Electoral Vote August 16, 2004 John Kerry 49% George W. Bush 46%
3
Electoral Vote August 8, 2004 John Kerry 51% George W. Bush 40%
11
Electoral Vote August 1, 2004 John Kerry 51% George W. Bush 40%
11
Electoral Vote July 23, 2004 John Kerry 49% George W. Bush 38%
11
Electoral Vote July 11, 2004 John Kerry 49% George W. Bush 38%
11

Colorado

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 1996)
(Republican in 2000)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Electoral Vote October 30, 2004 John Kerry 47% George W. Bush 50%
3
Electoral Vote October 30, 2004 John Kerry 47% George W. Bush 49%
2
Electoral Vote October 29, 2004 John Kerry 47% George W. Bush 48%
1
Electoral Vote October 28, 2004 John Kerry 46% George W. Bush 52%
6
Electoral Vote October 27, 2004 John Kerry 45% George W. Bush 50%
5
Electoral Vote October 26, 2004 John Kerry 45% George W. Bush 49%
4
Electoral Vote October 25, 2004 John Kerry 49% George W. Bush 45%
4
Electoral Vote October 24, 2004 John Kerry 42% George W. Bush 51%
9
Electoral Vote October 23, 2004 John Kerry 50% George W. Bush 46%
3
Electoral Vote October 22, 2004 John Kerry 49% George W. Bush 47%
2
Electoral Vote October 21, 2004 John Kerry 48% George W. Bush 47%
1
Electoral Vote October 20, 2004 John Kerry 49% George W. Bush 45%
4
Electoral Vote October 17, 2004 John Kerry 45% George W. Bush 52%
7
Electoral Vote October 16, 2004 John Kerry 45% George W. Bush 50%
5
Electoral Vote October 14, 2004 John Kerry 42% George W. Bush 48%
6
Electoral Vote October 13, 2004 John Kerry 47% George W. Bush 49%
2
Electoral Vote October 13, 2004 John Kerry 43% George W. Bush 49%
6
Electoral Vote October 7, 2004 John Kerry 44% George W. Bush 52%
8
Electoral Vote October 6, 2004 John Kerry 41% George W. Bush 50%
9
Electoral Vote October 5, 2004 John Kerry 48% George W. Bush 48%
0
Electoral Vote October 4, 2004 John Kerry 49% George W. Bush 48%
1
Electoral Vote September 28, 2004 John Kerry 44% George W. Bush 48%
4
Electoral Vote September 25, 2004 John Kerry 44% George W. Bush 52%
8
Electoral Vote September 14, 2004 John Kerry 45% George W. Bush 46%
1
Electoral Vote September 13, 2004 John Kerry 48% George W. Bush 49%
1
Electoral Vote August 13, 2004 John Kerry 47% George W. Bush 47%
3
Electoral Vote June 16, 2004 John Kerry 43% George W. Bush 48%
5

Connecticut

7 electoral votes
(Democrat in 1996)
(Democrat in 2000)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Electoral Vote October 26, 2004 John Kerry 52% George W. Bush 42%
10
Electoral Vote September 27, 2004 John Kerry 47% George W. Bush 38%
9
Electoral Vote September 10, 2004 John Kerry 54% George W. Bush 39%
15
Electoral Vote August 14, 2004 John Kerry 45% George W. Bush 38%
7
Electoral Vote June 27, 2004 John Kerry 50% George W. Bush 32%
18
Electoral Vote May 29, 2004 John Kerry 46% George W. Bush 36%
10

Delaware

3 electoral votes
(Democrat in 1996)
(Democrat in 2000)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Electoral Vote September 22, 2004 John Kerry 45% George W. Bush 38%
10
Electoral Vote September 13, 2004 John Kerry 50% George W. Bush 41%
9

District of Columbia

3 electoral votes
(Democrat in 1996)
(Democrat in 2000)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Electoral Vote September 12, 2004 John Kerry 79% George W. Bush 11%
68

Florida

27 electoral votes
(Democrat in 1996)
(Republican in 2000)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Electoral Vote November 1, 2004 John Kerry 50% George W. Bush 48%
2
Electoral Vote November 1, 2004 John Kerry 48% George W. Bush 48%
0
Electoral Vote October 31, 2004 John Kerry 49% George W. Bush 44%
5
Electoral Vote October 31, 2004 John Kerry 48% George W. Bush 49%
1
Electoral Vote October 31, 2004 John Kerry 48% George W. Bush 48%
0
Electoral Vote October 31, 2004 John Kerry 43% George W. Bush 51%
8
Electoral Vote October 30, 2004 John Kerry 50% George W. Bush 47%
3
Electoral Vote October 30, 2004 John Kerry 47% George W. Bush 50%
3
Electoral Vote October 29, 2004 John Kerry 45% George W. Bush 49%
4
Electoral Vote October 27, 2004 John Kerry 45% George W. Bush 50%
5
Electoral Vote October 27, 2004 John Kerry 46% George W. Bush 50%
4
Electoral Vote October 27, 2004 John Kerry 48% George W. Bush 47%
1
Electoral Vote October 26, 2004 John Kerry 46% George W. Bush 49%
3
Electoral Vote October 26, 2004 John Kerry 43% George W. Bush 51%
8
Electoral Vote October 25, 2004 John Kerry 49% George W. Bush 46%
3
Electoral Vote October 24, 2004 John Kerry 50% George W. Bush 48%
2
Electoral Vote October 24, 2004 John Kerry 43% George W. Bush 51%
8
Electoral Vote October 24, 2004 John Kerry 48% George W. Bush 48%
0
Electoral Vote October 24, 2004 John Kerry 47% George W. Bush 49%
2